◈ FOOTBALL PRO INTELLIGENCE · PUBLIC BETA
Historical Predictions.
Actual match results.
Explore model probabilities for football matches, compare them with final scores, and see whether the selected football market outcome occurred.
TWO EVIDENCE TYPES · CLEARLY IDENTIFIED
About these historical predictions: The model calculations were reconstructed later using earlier match results, with a three-hour information gap. They were not published before those matches. This is useful for studying the model, but not equivalent to a verified pre-match track record.
LEAGUES PREPARED225Cached for quick public viewing
GAMES IN SELECTION149Unique evaluated fixtures
MARKET PREDICTIONS4,172Selected filters; markets overlap
MEAN BRIER ERROR0.2268Smaller is better; not betting ROI
EXPLORE RESULTS
All times SAST (UTC+2)Historical predictions & scores
One match · all its predictionsClick a fixture to expand its markets and model calculations.
MO Bejaia vs Nrb Beni OulbeneAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff15 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score2 – 0 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1167 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1535 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0366 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 19.1% | 5.22 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0366 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1535 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1167 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 92.2% | 1.09 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0062 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.74 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.2322 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.74 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0638 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.74 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0098 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.74 | 9.9% | 10.12 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0098 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.74 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0638 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.74 | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.2322 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 1.74 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0010 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.89 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1895 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.89 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0869 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.89 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0155 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.89 | 12.4% | 8.04 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0155 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.89 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0869 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.89 | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1895 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 1.89 | 95.6% | 1.05 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0019 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.00 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1638 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.00 | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1053 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.00 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0206 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.00 | 14.4% | 6.96 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0206 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.00 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1053 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.00 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1638 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.00 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0028 |
Usm El Harrach vs RC ArbaAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff15 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score3 – 1 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1167 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3700 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6539 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 19.1% | 5.22 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6539 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3700 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1167 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 92.2% | 1.09 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0062 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.42 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0927 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.42 | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3192 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.42 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6005 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.42 | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6005 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.42 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3192 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.42 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0927 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.42 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0096 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1043 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3444 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6276 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 20.8% | 4.81 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6276 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3444 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1043 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0077 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1068 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3498 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6333 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 20.4% | 4.90 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6333 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3498 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1068 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0074 |
WA Mostaganem vs RC KoubaAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff14 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score0 – 0 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.27 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4374 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.27 | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1561 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.27 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0376 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.27 | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0376 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.27 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1561 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.27 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4374 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.27 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0064 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.19 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4143 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.19 | 37.5% | 2.66 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1409 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.19 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0321 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.19 | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0321 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.19 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1409 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.19 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4143 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.19 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0051 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.38 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4708 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.38 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1796 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.38 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0467 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.38 | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0467 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.38 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1796 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.38 | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4708 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.38 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0086 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.23 | 65.1% | 1.53 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4244 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.23 | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1474 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.23 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0344 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.23 | 18.6% | 5.39 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0344 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.23 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1474 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.23 | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4244 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.23 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0057 |
Teleghma vs USM AnnabaAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff13 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score2 – 1 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1188 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3741 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3741 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1188 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0059 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.97 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1720 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.97 | 31.5% | 3.18 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4697 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.97 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0188 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.97 | 13.7% | 7.29 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0188 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.97 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4697 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.97 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1720 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 1.97 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0025 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1385 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4118 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0279 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0279 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4118 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1385 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0042 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1345 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4045 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0292 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0292 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4045 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1345 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0045 |
MC Saida vs TiaretAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff13 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score1 – 0 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4295 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1508 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1508 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4295 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0059 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4679 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1775 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0459 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0459 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1775 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4679 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0084 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.41 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4808 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.41 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1871 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.41 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0498 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.41 | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0498 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.41 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1871 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.41 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4808 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.41 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0094 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4327 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1529 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0364 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 19.1% | 5.24 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0364 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1529 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4327 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0061 |
JS Jijel vs MSP BatnaAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff13 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score1 – 2 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1188 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3741 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3741 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1188 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0059 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.87 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1949 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.87 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | YES | MISS | 0.5056 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.87 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0146 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.87 | 12.1% | 8.28 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0146 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.87 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | NO | MISS | 0.5056 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.87 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1949 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 1.87 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0018 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.98 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1688 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.98 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4645 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.98 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0195 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.98 | 14.0% | 7.16 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0195 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.98 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4645 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.98 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1688 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 1.98 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0026 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.08 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1482 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.08 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4294 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.08 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0248 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.08 | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0248 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.08 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4294 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.08 | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1482 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.08 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0036 |
CA Batna vs KhroubAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff13 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score1 – 0 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4295 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1508 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1508 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4295 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0059 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.20 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4152 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.20 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1415 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.20 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0323 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.20 | 18.0% | 5.56 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0323 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.20 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1415 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.20 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4152 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.20 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0052 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3933 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1278 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0277 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 16.6% | 6.01 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0277 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1278 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3933 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.13 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0042 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.17 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4071 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.17 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1363 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.17 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0305 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.17 | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0305 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.17 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1363 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.17 | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4071 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.17 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0048 |
MSP Batna vs CR Béni ThourAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff09 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score2 – 1 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1187 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3739 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.2% | 1.64 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3739 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1187 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0059 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.55 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0764 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.55 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | YES | MISS | 0.2809 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.55 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0646 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.55 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0646 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.55 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | NO | MISS | 0.2809 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.55 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0764 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.55 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0135 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1047 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 41.2% | 2.42 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3453 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0429 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0429 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3453 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1047 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.33 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0077 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.35 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1021 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.35 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3397 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.35 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0445 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.35 | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0445 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.35 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3397 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.35 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1021 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.35 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0080 |
NC Magra vs CA BatnaAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff09 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score0 – 0 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4297 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1509 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.2% | 1.64 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1509 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4297 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0059 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.67 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.2470 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.67 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0550 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.67 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0078 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.67 | 8.9% | 11.29 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0078 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.67 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0550 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.67 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.2470 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 1.67 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0008 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.92 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3283 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.92 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0916 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.92 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0167 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.92 | 12.9% | 7.73 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0167 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.92 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0916 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.92 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3283 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 1.92 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0021 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.99 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3498 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.99 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1029 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.99 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0199 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.99 | 14.1% | 7.08 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0199 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.99 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1029 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.99 | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3498 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 1.99 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0027 |
Khroub vs TeleghmaAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff09 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score2 – 2 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1187 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3739 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6578 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6578 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.2% | 1.64 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3739 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1187 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0059 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.21 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1234 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.21 | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3833 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.21 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6670 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.21 | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6670 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.21 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3833 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.21 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1234 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.21 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0055 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1342 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 36.4% | 2.74 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4040 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6867 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 17.1% | 5.84 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6867 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4040 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1342 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.15 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0045 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1219 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3803 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6640 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6640 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3803 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1219 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0056 |
Tiaret vs ASM OranAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff09 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score0 – 1 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4297 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1509 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.2% | 1.64 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1509 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4297 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0059 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.96 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3386 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.96 | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0969 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.96 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0182 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.96 | 13.5% | 7.41 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0182 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.96 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0969 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.96 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3386 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 1.96 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0024 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3674 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1126 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0228 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0228 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1126 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3674 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0032 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3878 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1245 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0266 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 16.3% | 6.13 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0266 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1245 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3878 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0040 |
Nrb Beni Oulbene vs JS JijelAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff09 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score2 – 0 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1187 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1509 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.2% | 1.64 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1509 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1187 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0059 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1231 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1455 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0337 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0337 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1455 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1231 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.22 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0055 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.16 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1329 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.16 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1343 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.16 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0299 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.16 | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0299 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.16 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1343 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.16 | 36.4% | 2.74 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1329 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.16 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0047 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.18 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1295 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.18 | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1380 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.18 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0311 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.18 | 17.6% | 5.67 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0311 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.18 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1380 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.18 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1295 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.18 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0049 |
USM Annaba vs US ChaouiaAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff09 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score3 – 0 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1187 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3739 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0357 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.2% | 1.64 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3739 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1187 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0059 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1011 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3376 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0451 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 21.2% | 4.71 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0451 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3376 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1011 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0082 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1172 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3710 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0364 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 19.1% | 5.24 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0364 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3710 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1172 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.25 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0061 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.26 | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1153 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.26 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3673 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.26 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0373 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.26 | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0373 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.26 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3673 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.26 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1153 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.26 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0063 |
RC Kouba vs Usm El HarrachAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff08 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score4 – 0 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1198 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3762 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6600 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.8% | 5.33 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6600 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3762 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1198 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0058 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.86 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1984 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.86 | 28.5% | 3.50 | — | YES | MISS | 0.5107 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.86 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | NO | MISS | 0.7771 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 1.86 | 11.8% | 8.44 | — | YES | MISS | 0.7771 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 1.86 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | NO | MISS | 0.5107 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 1.86 | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1984 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 1.86 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0017 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1426 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 35.3% | 2.84 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4193 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | NO | MISS | 0.7008 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 16.3% | 6.14 | — | YES | MISS | 0.7008 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4193 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1426 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.11 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0040 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1541 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | YES | MISS | 0.4397 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | NO | MISS | 0.7190 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | YES | MISS | 0.7190 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | NO | MISS | 0.4397 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1541 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.05 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0033 |
WA Mostaganem vs TiaretAlgeria · Ligue 2 Kickoff03 Oct 2026, 16:00SAST StatusCompleted Final score3 – 1 Predictions28 records4 models · 7 markets View details
Historical modelReconstructed after the match using earlier results. Not originally recorded before kickoff.
| Model | Market | Saved at (SAST) | Expected | Probability | Fair odds | Book odds | Occurred? | Lean match? | Brier ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League-average benchmark | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1197 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3760 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6599 |
| League-average benchmark | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 18.8% | 5.33 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6599 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3760 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1197 |
| League-average benchmark | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.24 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0058 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0995 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3342 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6168 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 21.5% | 4.66 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6168 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3342 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.0995 |
| Standard Poisson (current scanner) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.37 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0084 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1004 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3362 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6190 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 21.3% | 4.69 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6190 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3362 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1004 |
| Recent-form Poisson (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.36 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0083 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.1072 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | YES | MISS | 0.3505 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | NO | MISS | 0.6340 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Over 3.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | YES | MISS | 0.6340 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 2.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | NO | MISS | 0.3505 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 1.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 32.7% | 3.05 | — | NO | MATCH | 0.1072 |
| Quantum Adaptive (experimental) | Under 4.5 | Not recorded | 2.32 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | YES | MATCH | 0.0073 |
Page 1 · 15 fixtures shown · 149 fixtures matched · 4,172 market predictions
Research cache generated 2026-10-16 05:40:01 UTC. The displayed probability calculation is retrospective, not a forecast timestamp.
How to interpret historical predictions
Occurred? shows whether the selected goals threshold happened in the final score. Lean match? asks whether a simple 50% classification agreed with the result. Neither by itself measures forecasting quality.
Brier error is the squared difference between forecast probability and the actual result. Smaller is better. Expected goals are model scoring rates, not shot-based xG. Fair odds are calculated from estimated probability; bookmaker odds are shown only when saved with a real pre-match snapshot.
Historical model predictions were calculated after the matches from earlier-score information; they were not actually published at the time. Recorded before kickoff preserves original timestamps. These two evidence types must not be confused, and neither demonstrates profitable betting performance on its own. Some markets are complementary or correlated, so do not treat each as an independent test.